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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Virtue (72')
O'Connor (26'), Erhahon (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Flanagan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Lincoln will be looking to end their campaign on a high note, and they will be confident of doing that against a Shrewsbury side who also have nothing tangible to play for. The visitors ended a poor run of form last time out, but we cannot imagine Cotterill's side earning a final-day victory in this one - albeit a point could be likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
49.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.61% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)55.48% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.58% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.052 -0.05)56.18% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 49.23%
    Shrewsbury Town 24.61%
    Draw 26.15%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.61%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Dunkley (10')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Lincoln
1-1
Shrewsbury
McGrandles (43')
Fiorini (13'), Poole (89')
Leahy (50')
Udoh (30'), Whalley (80')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
2-2
Lincoln
 Shrewsbury win 4-2 on penalties
Udoh (69', 79')
Hopper (49'), Bishop (52')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 24
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Norburn (3'), Whalley (23'), Davis (45+3'), Vela (82'), Ebanks-Landell (89')
Grant (11')
Rogers (65')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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