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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Notts County

Sutton
5 - 1
Notts County

Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Millwall
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Notts County

 Notts County racked up an incredible 107 points in the National League last season, and fifth-tier sides have a history of adapting well to life in League Two, with the likes of Tranmere Rovers and Bristol Rovers achieving back-to-back promotions in recent years. Williams has also strengthened his squad considerably with some high-profile signings, so we expect them to get their season off to the perfect start against a Sutton United side that was very poor at the back end of the previous season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawNotts County
20.68% (-3.184 -3.18) 22.32% (0.159 0.16) 57% (3.026 3.03)
Both teams to score 55% (-4.994 -4.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-4.561 -4.56)43.89% (4.564 4.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-4.61 -4.61)66.28% (4.614 4.61)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (-5.412 -5.41)35.16% (5.415 5.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-6.097 -6.1)71.91% (6.099 6.1)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (-0.574 -0.57)15.18% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.21% (-1.098 -1.1)43.79% (1.101 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 20.68%
    Notts County 57%
    Draw 22.31%
Sutton UnitedDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.646 -0.65)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.567 -0.57)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.583 -0.58)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.68%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.994 0.99)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.728 -0.73)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.398 -0.4)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 10.06% (1.703 1.7)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.49% (1.445 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.96% (0.804 0.8)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.534 -0.53)
1-4 @ 2.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.81% (0.329 0.33)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.288 -0.29)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57%

How you voted: Sutton vs Notts County

Sutton United
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Notts County
75.0%
16
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
0-1
Notts County

Randall (88')
Wootton (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-1
Sutton
Thomas (14')
Rose (82')
Beautyman (76')
John (56'), Ajiboye (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sutton
1-1
Notts County
Beautyman (11')
Beautyman (76'), Collins (92')
Wootton (52')
McCrory (18')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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