League Two

League Two | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
5 - 1
Notts County

Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Millwall
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Notts County

Notts County racked up an incredible 107 points in the National League last season, and fifth-tier sides have a history of adapting well to life in League Two, with the likes of Tranmere Rovers and Bristol Rovers achieving back-to-back promotions in recent years. Williams has also strengthened his squad considerably with some high-profile signings, so we expect them to get their season off to the perfect start against a Sutton United side that was very poor at the back end of the previous season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Notts County
20.68% ( -3.18)	22.32% ( 0.16)	57% ( 3.03)

Both teams to score 55% (

-4.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

-4.56)

43.89% (

4.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

-4.61)

66.28% (

4.61)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.84% (

-5.41)

35.16% (

5.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.09% (

-6.1)

71.91% (

6.1)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82% (

-0.57)

15.18% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.21% (

-1.1)

43.79% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 20.68%

Notts County 57%

Draw 22.31%

Sutton United	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.58) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.68%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.99) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.73) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 1.7) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( 1.45) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.8) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.53) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.33) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.29) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57%