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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Sutton United

Rochdale
4 - 1
Sutton

Rodney (8', 56'), Brierley (25'), Keohane (50')
Odoh (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wilson (38')
Beautyman (64'), Smith (83')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawSutton United
33.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 27.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (0.043999999999997 0.04)57.33% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.035999999999998 0.04)78.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.043000000000006 0.04)28.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (0.052999999999997 0.05)64.71% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 33.71%
    Sutton United 38.57%
    Draw 27.71%
RochdaleDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 38.57%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Sutton
1-0
Rochdale
Randall (38')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Sutton
3-0
Rochdale
Boldewijn (12', 45+2'), Kizzi (57')
Milsom (78')

O'Connell (22'), Dorsett (41')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Rochdale
3-2
Sutton
Newby (23'), Kelly (66'), Morley (90+5')
Olaofe (82'), Smith (90')
Bennett (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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