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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
34.01% ( -0.09) | 26.33% ( -0.11) | 39.66% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.83% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% ( 0.44) | 51.83% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% ( 0.38) | 73.59% ( -0.39) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.16) | 28.94% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 0.2) | 64.82% ( -0.21) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% ( 0.31) | 25.65% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.44% ( 0.42) | 60.55% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.01% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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