Even though they were ultimately unable to come away with the three points, there were promising signs for Tranmere in the first half at Colchester last weekend, and they have largely been solid at home against teams in the bottom half of the table.
With Harrogate coming up short in their last away trip, against relegation-threatened Crawley Town, we expect the hosts to run out narrow victors, in what is likely to be a scrappy game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
-0.24) 
0.16) 
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