League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
1 - 0
Crawley

Turnbull (68')
Walker (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 2-5 Carlisle
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crawley Town

Tranmere have been on a really poor run of form, but they are above Crawley in the table and have enough quality to secure a narrow victory on home soil. Crawley have not won away all season and lost in disappointing style against Hartlepool last time out, so they are likely to come away empty-handed again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
56.36% ( 1.02)	23.77% ( -0.41)	19.86% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.96% (

0.84)

51.03% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1% (

0.74)

72.9% (

-0.74)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

0.7)

17.93% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.25% (

1.18)

48.75% (

-1.19)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.89% (

-0.18)

40.1% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.25% (

-0.16)

76.74% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 56.35%

Crawley Town 19.86%

Draw 23.77%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.4% Total : 56.35%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.77%	0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.86%