League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 1
Harrogate

Oteh (8', 44'), Mutch (67')
Nadesan (25'), Tilley (32'), Powell (37'), Gordon (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Connor (90+5')
Folarin (88'), Pattison (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 3-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
35.54% ( -0.14)	26.72% ( 0.05)	37.74% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

-0.21)

53.25% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

-0.18)

74.81% (

0.18)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0.19)

28.68% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

-0.24)

64.5% (

0.23)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

-0.05)

27.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

-0.06)

62.85% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 35.54%

Harrogate Town 37.73%

Draw 26.71%

Crawley Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.54%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.73%