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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Colchester
1 - 1
Tranmere

Chilvers (65' pen.)
Tovide (51'), Newby (59'), Tchamadeu (76'), Read (86'), Kelleher (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saunders (13')
Mumbongo (39'), T (56'), Hendry (59'), Cogley (63'), Murphy (64'), Turnbull (70'), Briston (75'), Saunders (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Newport
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 0-1 Tranmere Rovers

Neither side is bursting with confidence in the final third, so a low-scoring encounter is on the cards. In fact, a single goal could decide the outcome, with Tranmere responding positively to their former manager's removal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
36.1% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 28.07% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 35.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51% (-0.055 -0.05)58.49% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)79.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)30.92% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)67.21% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)67.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 36.1%
    Tranmere Rovers 35.84%
    Draw 28.06%
Colchester UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.23% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.84%

How you voted: Colchester vs Tranmere

Colchester United
25.0%
Draw
18.8%
Tranmere Rovers
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
2-0
Colchester
Hawkes (4'), Burton (83')
Byrne (19')

Tchamadeu (73')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-0
Tranmere
Tchamadeu (90+5')
Skuse (73'), Hannant (82')

Foley (82'), Jolley (84'), Clarke (90+6'), Davies (90+7')
Oct 8, 2021 7.45pm
May 8, 2021 3pm
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Colchester
2-2
Tranmere
Pell (30'), Sarpong-Wiredu (55')
Pell (9'), Sarpong-Wiredu (65')
Lloyd (62' pen.), Spearing (67')
Khan (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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