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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Rochdale |
47.2% ( -0.07) | 25.89% ( 0.03) | 26.9% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.78% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( -0.09) | 52.88% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( -0.08) | 74.49% ( 0.08) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( -0.07) | 22.4% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% ( -0.1) | 55.91% ( 0.1) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% ( -0.01) | 34.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% ( -0.01) | 71.28% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |