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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Rochdale

Crawley
1 - 0
Rochdale

Nadesan (18')
Davies (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 2-0 Rochdale

Despite having little to play for on Saturday, we can see the hosts coming out on top against a struggling Rochdale side that are lacking in quality all over the pitch in recent weeks. Crawley were excellent last time out against a solid Swindon side, and if they can perform anywhere near those levels, then they should come out victorious fairly comfortably in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crawley Town.

Result
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
44.44%26.4%29.17%
Both teams to score 50.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72%58.28%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.8%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 44.44%
    Rochdale 29.17%
    Draw 26.4%
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Crawley vs Rochdale

Crawley Town
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
Rochdale
4-1
Crawley
Tanser (33'), Henderson (38', 88'), Andrew (93')
Elliott (76')
Tomlin (7')
Sep 6, 2014 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Rochdale

McLeod (74')
Done (10'), Vincenti (54', 66'), Andrew (75')
Andrew (77'), Rafferty (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622


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