Exeter2 - 1Crawley
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Forest Green Rovers | 46 | 31 | 84 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 46 | 24 | 84 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 15 | 58 |
We said: Exeter City 2-1 Crawley Town
Exeter are currently in imperious form, and we think that they will pick up all three points on Tuesday when they face a Crawley side that are low on confidence after losing their last two matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 59.6% | 22.73% | 17.67% |
| Both teams to score 48.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% | 49.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% | 71.9% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% | 16.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.99% | 46.01% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% | 41.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.6% | 78.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.89% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.96% Total : 59.59% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.67% |
