Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.