Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.