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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Newport County
Notts County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
1 - 2
Crawley

Waite (59')
Waite (19')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newport County 2-1 Crawley Town

Crawley may have won three of their last four matches, but all of those wins took place on home turf and with Newport determined to keep hold of their playoff spot, we think that the hosts will edge out the Reds on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
54.76%23.11%22.13%
Both teams to score 54.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44%45.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11%67.89%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48%16.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73%46.27%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29%34.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57%71.44%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 54.75%
    Crawley Town 22.13%
    Draw 23.1%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.9%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.96%
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Crawley Town
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Newport
1-1
Crawley
Abrahams (74' pen.)
Nathaniel-George (35' pen.)
Sesay (59'), Grego-Cox (68'), Lubala (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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