League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 2
Crawley

Waite (59')
Waite (19')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

We said: Newport County 2-1 Crawley Town

Crawley may have won three of their last four matches, but all of those wins took place on home turf and with Newport determined to keep hold of their playoff spot, we think that the hosts will edge out the Reds on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
54.76%	23.11%	22.13%

Both teams to score 54.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44%

45.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11%

67.89%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73%

46.27%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29%

34.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57%

71.44%

Score Analysis

Newport County 54.75%

Crawley Town 22.13%

Draw 23.1%

Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.27% Total : 54.75%	1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.1%	0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.13%