League Two | Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Exeter4 - 3Harrogate
We said: Exeter City 2-1 Harrogate Town
The two sides head into this clash on very different runs of form, so as a result, we are going with the form here and predicting an Exeter win. Taylor's side are flying and are an extremely solid unit at the moment, whilst the visitors continue to head in the wrong direction following their initial strong start to the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 55.47% | 23.66% | 20.87% |
| Both teams to score 50.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
