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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Rochdale

Carlisle
2 - 0
Rochdale

Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Rochdale

 Carlisle picked up a crucial win at the weekend and will feel refreshed and desperate to boost their survival bid, but they take on a Rochdale side in fine form and could fall just short. The Dale have been particularly impressive recently, and we back them to leave Brunton Park with all three points, given the quality throughout their squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawRochdale
33.74%28.48%37.78%
Both teams to score 46.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.88%60.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.67%80.33%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7%33.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08%69.92%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3%30.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05%66.95%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 33.74%
    Rochdale 37.78%
    Draw 28.48%
Carlisle UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.74%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 12.07%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Rochdale

Carlisle United
44.4%
Draw
44.4%
Rochdale
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
0-2
Rochdale
Davies (48'), Mendez-Laing (93')
Canavan (35')
Mar 6, 2012 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Rochdale
McGovern (57')
Berrett (33')
Kennedy (74')
Widdowson (88')
Aug 16, 2011 3pm
Rochdale
0-0
Carlisle
Akpa Akpro (34'), Holness (77')
Apr 23, 2011 3pm
Rochdale
2-3
Carlisle
Thompson (30'), Done (49')
Thompson (63')
Holness (25' og.), Robson (65'), Noble (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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