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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Swindon Town

Carlisle
0 - 3
Swindon


Simeu (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
30.59%26.86%42.54%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13%54.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84%76.16%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22%32.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66%69.34%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48%25.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63%60.37%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.59%
    Swindon Town 42.54%
    Draw 26.86%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.54%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Carlisle
2-1
Swindon
Hope (13'), O'Hare (79')
Liddle (38')
Bennett (39')
Carroll (60'), Anderson (91')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
0-4
Carlisle
Nadesan (41'), Slater (46', 64'), Devitt (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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