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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
21.04% | 24.3% | 54.66% |
Both teams to score 49.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.28% | 51.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.51% | 73.49% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% | 39.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% | 75.96% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% | 18.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.73% | 50.27% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.04% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |