League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
5 - 0
Swindon

Grigg (16', 45+2', 46', 49'), Fraser (26' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Swindon Town
49.45%	24.32%	26.24%

Both teams to score 55.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.14%

46.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88%

69.12%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81%

19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44%

50.56%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11%

31.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66%

68.34%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 49.44%

Swindon Town 26.24%

Draw 24.32%

MK Dons	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.18% Total : 49.44%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.24%