Burton Albion

2 - 1

Swindon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.