Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.