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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Stockport County

Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport

Rodney (85')
Lloyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collar (56' pen., 58')
Knoyle (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Stockport County

 When it rains, it pours, and it is difficult to see how Rochdale can overcome the high-flying Stockport, even on home turf this Saturday. Stockport will be looking to bombard the Rochdale box, with Madden and Wootton hoping to overload the Dale's defenders with their physical presence. Collar may be a strong contender to score for the third successive game from midfield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawStockport County
21.71% (-1.354 -1.35) 25.34% (-0.588 -0.59) 52.95% (1.94 1.94)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.907 0.91)54.96% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.744 0.74)76.24% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.823 -0.82)40.41% (0.822 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.754 -0.75)77.03% (0.752 0.75)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (1.187 1.19)20.77% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (1.836 1.84)53.42% (-1.837 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 21.71%
    Stockport County 52.94%
    Draw 25.34%
RochdaleDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.71%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 5.43% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.94%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Stockport

Rochdale
21.2%
Draw
6.1%
Stockport County
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Lund (22')
Jennings (7'), Reid (14')
Mar 11, 2008 3pm
Stockport
2-0
Rochdale
Dickinson (10', 56')
Nov 6, 2007 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Stockport
Le Fondre (69' pen.)
Kennedy (37'), McArdle (75')
Dickinson (28', 53')
Tierney (35'), Taylor (37')
Mar 24, 2007 3pm
Stockport
2-7
Rochdale
Dickinson (35'), Elding (32')
Nolan (13'), Taylor (51')
Goodall (11'), Rundle (15' pen.), Muirhead (17', 46'), Murray (4', 53')
Crooks (56')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Rochdale
1-3
Stockport
Jones (53' pen.)
Stanton (40'), Goodall (57'), Sako (75')
Williams (19'), Robinson (45' pen.), Bramble (80')
Taylor (62')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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