League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
4 - 4
Swindon

Rodney (22'), Lloyd (25'), Odoh (71'), Henderson (90+4')
Dodgson (63'), Mullarkey (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Austin (2', 14', 74', 79')
Clayton (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Swindon
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Swindon Town
27.46% ( -0.02)	26.17% ( -0.03)	46.37% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36% (

0.12)

53.64% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86% (

0.1)

75.13% (

-0.1)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48% (

0.05)

34.52% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76% (

0.05)

71.23% (

-0.05)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

0.07)

23.1% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

0.11)

56.95% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 27.46%

Swindon Town 46.37%

Draw 26.16%

Rochdale	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.46%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.37%