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Swindon Town
League One | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
Rochdale

Swindon
3 - 1
Rochdale

Smith (4'), Grant (33'), Smith (41')
Jaiyesimi (46'), Pitman (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Keohane (90+3')
Lund (89')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawRochdale
58.65%23.13%18.22%
Both teams to score 48.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41%72.58%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02%16.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91%47.09%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25%41.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78%78.21%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 58.65%
    Rochdale 18.22%
    Draw 23.13%
Swindon TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 12.57%
2-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.75%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 58.65%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.19%
1-2 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.22%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Rochdale
4-0
Swindon
Bunney (29'), Lund (55'), Davies (57', 66' pen.)
Rathbone (22'), Bunney (30')

Rodgers (25'), Goddard (31'), Branco (54')
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Swindon
3-0
Rochdale
Furlong (24'), Delfouneso (32'), Thompson (80')
Delfouneso (45'), Furlong (72')

Keane (48'), Andrew (52'), Camps (77'), Cannon (79')
Bunney (72')
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Rochdale
2-2
Swindon
Allen (45'), Lund (67')
Henderson (15'), Camps (34'), Lund (63')
Obika (2'), Thompson (45')
Ormonde-Ottewill (36'), Thompson (45'), Branco (65')
Thompson (58'), Ormonde-Ottewill (88')
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Rochdale
Robert (33'), Gladwin (34')
Lancashire (60')
Mcdermott (40'), Henderson (58'), Lund (71'), McNulty (90')
O'Sullivan (12')
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-4
Swindon
Henderson (45' pen.), Thompson (93' og.)
Gladwin (20', 33', 40'), Smith (23')
Hylton (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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