League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
1 - 2
Carlisle

Shade (80')
Wakeling (17'), Austin (58'), Clayton (70'), Shade (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Guy (9'), McCalmont (56'), Moxon (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Carlisle United
41.94% ( -0.18)	26.19% ( -0.03)	31.87% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.23% (

0.18)

51.77% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.46% (

0.16)

73.53% (

-0.16)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

-0.01)

24.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13% (

-0.02)

58.87% (

0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

0.23)

30.31% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

0.28)

66.49% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 41.93%

Carlisle United 31.87%

Draw 26.18%

Swindon Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.87%