Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Grimsby Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 2-5 Carlisle
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
50.99% ( 1.55) | 25.07% ( -0.15) | 23.94% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
