MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 10:23:56| >> :600:550850:550850:
Southampton logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Grimsby Town

Southampton
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

FT(HT: 0-1)
Holohan (45+1' pen., 50' pen.)
Hunt (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Southampton 2-0 Grimsby Town

With Southampton likely to make alterations, Grimsby will be optimistic about taking full advantage. However, for all their struggles, the Saints still possess a talented squad, and they should have enough quality to make relatively light work of their next opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawGrimsby Town
47.13% (-3.647 -3.65) 24.21% (0.788 0.79) 28.66% (2.857 2.86)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-1.446 -1.45)44.72% (1.442 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-1.408 -1.41)67.08% (1.407 1.41)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-1.976 -1.98)19.1% (1.974 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (-3.376 -3.38)50.72% (3.373 3.37)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (1.368 1.37)28.96% (-1.369 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (1.664 1.66)64.85% (-1.667 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 47.13%
    Grimsby Town 28.66%
    Draw 24.2%
SouthamptonDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.255 -0.25)
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.574 -0.57)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.358 -0.36)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.337 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.508 0.51)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.55 0.55)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.311 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.66%

How you voted: Southampton vs Grimsby Town

Southampton
Draw
Grimsby Town
Southampton
75.6%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
13.3%
90
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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