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FA Cup
Southampton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Blackpool

Southampton
2 - 1
Blackpool

Perraud (22', 62')
Mara (10'), Diallo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Patino (67')
Hamilton (20'), Dougall (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Blackpool

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Watford 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Blackpool

 Southampton have bigger fish to fry in the Premier League and EFL Cup at the moment, and a classic case of new manager bounce cannot come quickly enough for a woeful Blackpool side. The Tangerines may have taught Forest a footballing lesson in the third round, but their dismal streak of form makes it difficult to predict a shock result here, and a rotated Southampton team should do just about enough to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBlackpool
45.82% (0.15300000000001 0.15) 25.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 29.01% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.163 -0.16)48.68% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-0.147 -0.15)70.79% (0.143 0.14)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.26% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.18% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)30.73% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.247 -0.25)66.99% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 45.81%
    Blackpool 29.02%
    Draw 25.16%
SouthamptonDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.81%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Southampton vs Blackpool

Southampton
74.4%
Draw
11.6%
Blackpool
14.0%
43
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2012 5.25pm
Blackpool
3-0
Southampton
Evatt (52')

Fox (68')
Dec 10, 2011 12.45pm
Southampton
2-2
Blackpool
Lambert (30', 90')
Lambert (62'), Schneiderlin (71')
Basham (36'), McManaman (49')
Evatt (40'), Ferguson (62'), Basham (81')
Mar 21, 2009 3pm
Blackpool
1-1
Southampton
Campbell (20' pen.)
Mahon (23'), Edwards (83'), Barker (90')
McGoldrick (69')
Perry (77'), McGoldrick (79')
Aug 30, 2008 3pm
Southampton
0-1
Blackpool

Surman (28'), Gillett (42'), James (61'), Svensson (83')
Burgess (45' pen.)
Camara (79'), Burgess (90')
Mar 8, 2008 3pm
Blackpool
2-2
Southampton
Gorkss (55'), Southern (49')
Taylor-Fletcher (75')
Vignal (31' pen.), John (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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