Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.