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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Bournemouth

Toney (39' pen.), Jensen (75')
Raya (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (38')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford move up into eighth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 2-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
55.93% (0.211 0.21) 23.16% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 20.91% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.25% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)69.48% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)16.72% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (0.125 0.13)46.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-0.177 -0.18)36.85% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-0.174 -0.17)73.63% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 55.92%
    Bournemouth 20.91%
    Draw 23.16%
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.92%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Brentford vs Bournemouth

Brentford
84.8%
Draw
9.3%
Bournemouth
6.0%
151
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 22, 2021 12.30pm
Brentford
3-1
Bournemouth
Toney (16' pen.), Janelt (50'), Forss (81')
Toney (17'), Jansson (78'), Dalsgaard (90+1')
Danjuma (5')
Begovic (17'), Lerma (45+5'), Stacey (90+3')
Mepham (28')
May 17, 2021 6pm
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Bournemouth
0-1
Brentford

Lerma (68')
Mbeumo (77')
Jansson (25'), Forss (68'), Toney (80'), Janelt (87')
Jansson (50')
Dec 30, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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