Championship

Championship | 1st Leg

May 17, 2021 at 6pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
1 - 0
Brentford

(Brentford win 3-2 on aggregate)

Danjuma (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roerslev (45+3'), Jansson (47')

Thomas Frank bemoans absence of VAR as Brentford lose to Bournemouth

Thomas Frank felt his side were denied a clear penalty against Bouremouth.

May 17, 22:15

The Match

Match Report

Arnaut Danjuma provided the finish to a flowing move to score the only goal of the play-off semi-final first leg.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Brentford
27.85%	25.65%	46.5%

Both teams to score 52.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65%

51.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83%

73.17%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67%

33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41%

69.58%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93%

22.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.58%

55.42%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 27.85%

Brentford 46.5%

Draw 25.65%

Bournemouth	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.85%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.5%