Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 24, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
0 - 1
Brentford

Lerma (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbeumo (77')
Jansson (25'), Forss (68'), Toney (80'), Janelt (87')
Jansson (50')

Thomas Frank "immensely proud" as Brentford secure playoff spot

Thomas Frank 'immensely proud' as 10-man Brentford seal play-off spot.

Apr 24, 16:37

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth, looking for a club-record-equalling eighth straight league win, lacked their usual attacking spark and managed only one shot on target.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brentford in this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Brentford
30.14%	26.83%	43.03%

Both teams to score 49.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.09%

54.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.8%

76.2%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86%

33.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26%

69.74%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71%

25.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94%

60.06%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 30.14%

Brentford 43.03%

Draw 26.83%

Bournemouth	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.14%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.03%