Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
4 - 1
Brentford

Bednarek (5'), Fernandez (37' og.), Broja (49'), Adams (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Janelt (23')
Toney (45+2')

Thomas Frank apologises to Brentford fans following Southampton defeat

Brentford boss Thomas Frank has taken to the club media channel in order to officially apologise to the fans following their 4-1 defeat against Southampton.

Jan 12, 15:19

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Southampton 1-1 Brentford

If this fixture is to go ahead at St Mary's, both sides will seemingly have depleted squads which could result in a closely-fought contest. Southampton will be desperate to return to winning ways but we can see the Bees battling towards a hard-earned point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brentford
35.89%	27.9%	36.2%

Both teams to score 48.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11%

57.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4%

78.6%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25%

30.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99%

67.01%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44%

30.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21%

66.79%

Score Analysis

Southampton 35.89%

Brentford 36.2%

Draw 27.9%

Southampton	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.89%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.2%