Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton4 - 1Brentford
We said: Southampton 1-1 Brentford
If this fixture is to go ahead at St Mary's, both sides will seemingly have depleted squads which could result in a closely-fought contest. Southampton will be desperate to return to winning ways but we can see the Bees battling towards a hard-earned point on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
| 35.89% | 27.9% | 36.2% |
| Both teams to score 48.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
