League Two

League Two | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 4
Mansfield

Gordon (43'), Garner (58'), Harris (70')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Clarke (14'), Kilgour (25'), Akins (29' pen.), Hewitt (38')
Harbottle (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Mansfield Town
38.32% ( -1.92)	27.54% ( 0.43)	34.14% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.38% (

-1.4)

56.62% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

-1.14)

77.59% (

1.14)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

-1.75)

28.65% (

1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

-2.24)

64.47% (

2.24)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76% (

0.28)

31.24% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42% (

0.33)

67.58% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 38.31%

Mansfield Town 34.14%

Draw 27.53%

Carlisle United	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.31%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.14%