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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
44.9% | 25.94% | 29.16% |
Both teams to score 52.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.18% | 51.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% | 73.58% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% | 23.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.18% | 56.82% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% | 32.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% | 68.75% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |