Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%).