Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.