Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.
