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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Swindon Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Swindon

Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Swindon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Swindon
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
22.32% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 25.47% (-0.299 -0.3) 52.21% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.56% (0.92 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (1.162 1.16)54.88% (-1.16 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.953 0.95)76.17% (-0.94999999999999 -0.95)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (0.74 0.74)39.76% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (0.675 0.68)76.43% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.566 0.57)21.04% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.874 0.87)53.84% (-0.872 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 22.32%
    Swindon Town 52.21%
    Draw 25.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.069 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.32%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-2 @ 10.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.28% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.21%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Hayden (62')
Edmonds-Green (11')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Swindon
Hope (13'), O'Hare (79')
Liddle (38')
Bennett (39')
Carroll (60'), Anderson (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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