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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Swindon Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Swindon

Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Swindon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Swindon
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
22.32% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 25.47% (-0.299 -0.3) 52.21% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.56% (0.92 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (1.162 1.16)54.88% (-1.16 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.953 0.95)76.17% (-0.94999999999999 -0.95)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (0.74 0.74)39.76% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (0.675 0.68)76.43% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.566 0.57)21.04% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.874 0.87)53.84% (-0.872 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 22.32%
    Swindon Town 52.21%
    Draw 25.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.069 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.32%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-2 @ 10.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.28% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.21%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Hayden (62')
Edmonds-Green (11')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Swindon
Hope (13'), O'Hare (79')
Liddle (38')
Bennett (39')
Carroll (60'), Anderson (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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