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Championship header 2

League Two
Port Vale
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Swindon Town

Port Vale
1 - 0
Swindon

Wilson (8')
Wilson (42'), Pett (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iandolo (56'), Conroy (95'), McKirdy (120+1')
Port Vale win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Swindon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Swindon Town (Swindon to win 4-2 on aggregate)

 Back on home territory, Port Vale will fancy their chances of turning things around to earn a spot in the final. However, we cannot ignore Swindon's recent winning streak, a run of results which should provide them with the confidence to move closer to promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawSwindon Town
37.55% (0.365 0.37) 26.05% (-0.724 -0.72) 36.4% (0.362 0.36)
Both teams to score 54.06% (2.413 2.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (3.059 3.06)50.39% (-3.054 -3.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (2.647 2.65)72.32% (-2.643 -2.64)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (1.648 1.65)26.14% (-1.644 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (2.16 2.16)61.22% (-2.156 -2.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (1.674 1.67)26.8% (-1.67 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (2.153 2.15)62.09% (-2.151 -2.15)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 37.55%
    Swindon Town 36.4%
    Draw 26.04%
Port ValeDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.731 -0.73)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.26 0.26)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.131 0.13)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.906 -0.91)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.347 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.714 -0.71)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.229 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 36.4%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Swindon

Port Vale
39.0%
Draw
18.6%
Swindon Town
42.4%
59
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 12pm
Swindon
2-1
Port Vale
McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')
Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-3
Swindon
Harratt (26')
Lucas (45+3')
Williams (20'), Gladwin (45+5' pen.), Smith (69' og.)
Lyden (81')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Port Vale
Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')
Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Port Vale
Legge (41' og.), Hope (45'), Doughty (60')
Doughty (91')

Atkinson (34'), Joyce (42'), Brisley (85'), Legge (87')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
Swindon
Burgess (13'), Taylor (52')
Legge (4'), Gibbons (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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