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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 15, 2022 at 12pm UK
County Ground
Port Vale

Swindon
2 - 1
Port Vale

McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Port Vale

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Port Vale

 Having defeated Exeter on away territory, Port Vale will fancy their chances of another away trip with a win against the odds. However, we cannot ignore Swindon's form heading into this contest, leading us to predict a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
41.09%26.56%32.35%
Both teams to score 51.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89%53.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31%74.69%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69%60.31%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09%66.91%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.09%
    Port Vale 32.35%
    Draw 26.55%
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.35%

How you voted: Swindon vs Port Vale

Swindon Town
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
Port Vale
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-3
Swindon
Harratt (26')
Lucas (45+3')
Williams (20'), Gladwin (45+5' pen.), Smith (69' og.)
Lyden (81')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Port Vale
Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')
Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Port Vale
Legge (41' og.), Hope (45'), Doughty (60')
Doughty (91')

Atkinson (34'), Joyce (42'), Brisley (85'), Legge (87')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
Swindon
Burgess (13'), Taylor (52')
Legge (4'), Gibbons (45')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-0
Port Vale

Clark (13'), Crookes (52'), Smith (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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