League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Barry (15'), Payne (40')
Iandolo (36'), Williams (53'), McKirdy (85'), Payne (90+3')
Iandolo (53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

March (69')
Godwin-Malife (13'), Adams (59'), March (63'), Young (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

A draw is no good for Swindon as they chase a playoff spot, but they will be the underdogs against the current league leaders. Forest Green are still bidding to finish first, meanwhile, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
29.91%	25.5%	44.59%

Both teams to score 53.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35%

49.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33%

71.67%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41%

30.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17%

66.82%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77%

22.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34%

55.66%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 29.91%

Forest Green Rovers 44.58%

Draw 25.5%

Swindon Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.91%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.58%