League Two | Gameweek 39
Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon2 - 1Forest Green
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Forest Green Rovers | 46 | 31 | 84 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 46 | 24 | 84 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Forest Green Rovers
A draw is no good for Swindon as they chase a playoff spot, but they will be the underdogs against the current league leaders. Forest Green are still bidding to finish first, meanwhile, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 29.91% | 25.5% | 44.59% |
| Both teams to score 53.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
