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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
48.68% | 25.35% | 25.97% |
Both teams to score 51.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% | 51.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.81% | 73.19% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.04% | 53.96% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% | 34.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.77% | 71.23% |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.67% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |