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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 at 12pm UK
 
Swindon Town

Forest Green
0 - 2
Swindon


Sweeney (45+1'), Matt (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McKirdy (54'), Simpson (81')
McKirdy (66')

Preview: Forest Green Rovers vs. Swindon Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

League leaders Forest Green Rovers welcome Swindon Town to The Fully Charged New Lawn for Saturday's early kick off in League Two.

The visitors won their most recent match and still sit fifth in the table, but will have their work cut out to beat a side in great form.


Match preview

Forest Green Rovers' Jack Aitchison celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on August 24, 2021© Reuters

Forest Green have now opened out a four-point lead at the top of the division after an unbeaten run of five games, three of which they won.

Most impressively, they have also not conceded during those five games and find themselves with a goal difference of +12, having also found the net a league-high 20 times.

A 4-0 win away at Stevenage last month was a particular highlight and Rovers head into this weekend's game on the back of another solid away victory, having beaten Carlisle United 2-0 thanks to goals from Jamille Matt and Nicky Cadden.

After missing out on promotion in the playoffs last season, Rob Edwards's side are looking to get things done automatically this time around and are very much on track to do just that.

Swindon will present their toughest opponent for a while but, right now, they will feel like they can take on anyone.

After something of a blip in the league, The Robins returned to winning ways last weekend with a dramatic 3-1 win away against Bristol Rovers.

Ben Garner's side came into the match having taken just two points from their last three games, against Port Vale, Northampton Town and Colchester United - not the worst run of fixtures and ones from which the team would have expected to emerge with at least one win.

So, when they fell behind in the 17th minute, Swindon fans were likely fearing the worst.

Garner's half-time team talk seemingly worked, however, as Jack Payne equalised 10 minutes into the second half and - with Rovers reduced to 10 men after Alfie Kilgour's red card - Ben Gladwin and Harry McKirdy were able to grab a goal each in the final five minutes to secure a much-needed three-point haul.

The manager will hope they can take this momentum into Saturday's game and overcome the odds to grab a win and perhaps move into the automatic promotion spots.

Forest Green Rovers League Two form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Swindon Town League Two form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W

Swindon Town form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Forest Green Rovers manager Rob Edwards acknowledges the fans after the match on August 24, 2021© Reuters

Baily Cargill was fit to make a substitute appearance in Forest Green's game against Carlisle last weekend and may now be ready to return to the starting XI, which would likely see Jordan Moore-Taylor make way.

Fellow defender Udoka Godwin-Malife was involved in the pre-match warm-up but did not make the bench and will not be rushed back into action following his broken collarbone.

Swindon, meanwhile, have five players away on international duty.

Jonny Williams is away with Wales, Anthony Grant with Jamaica and Jojo Wollacott has received his first call-up for Ghana, while Kaine Kesler-Hayden has joined up with the England U20s and Alex Gilbert with the Republic of Ireland U21 squad.

Of those, only Wollacott started the last match, though, with back-up goalkeeper Lewis Ward ready to step into his spot between the sticks.

Forest Green Rovers possible starting lineup:
McGee; Bernard, Sweeney, Cargill; Cadden, Aitchison, Hendry, Stevenson, Wilson; Matt, Stevens

Swindon Town possible starting lineup:
Ward; Iandolo, Crichlow, Conroy, Odimayo, Hayden; Payne, Reed, Gladwin; Simpson, Gilbert


SM words green background

We say: Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Swindon Town

Swindon actually have the slightly better record in this fixture, with five wins from their last 10 encounters, but we expect Forest Green to continue their run of form with a narrow win to further extend their lead at the top of the table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Forest Green vs Swindon

Forest Green Rovers
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Swindon Town
20.0%
20
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