Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 91.51%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for Freyming had a probability of 1.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.07%) and 0-4 (13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Freyming win it was 1-0 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.