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Bromley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rayners Lane
Carlisle United

Bromley
1 - 1
Carlisle

Cheek (54' pen.)
Thompson (57')
Leigh (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adu-Adjei (90+2')
Guy (37'), Mellish (43'), Burey (51'), Charters (67'), Lavelle (83'), Sadi (90'), Barclay (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bromley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Bromley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle United

Though both sides have struggled for results of late, Bromley have at least been difficult to beat at home. However, Carlisle have won their last two fixtures and should come into Saturday's game with some confidence, so it would not be surprising if they left Hayes Lane with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
38.09% (0.54 0.54) 25.62% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 36.29% (-0.609 -0.61)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (-0.34 -0.34)48.5% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (-0.311 -0.31)70.62% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.13799999999999 0.14)24.97% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.191 0.19)59.61% (-0.189 -0.19)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.502 -0.5)25.97% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.683 -0.68)60.99% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Bromley 38.09%
    Carlisle United 36.29%
    Draw 25.62%
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 36.29%

How you voted: Bromley vs Carlisle

Bromley
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Carlisle United
38.5%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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