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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bromley | Draw | Carlisle United |
38.09% ( 0.54) | 25.62% ( 0.07) | 36.29% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.5% ( -0.34) | 48.5% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.37% ( -0.31) | 70.62% ( 0.31) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.14) | 24.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( 0.19) | 59.61% ( -0.19) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% ( -0.5) | 25.97% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39% ( -0.68) | 60.99% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Bromley | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.36% Total : 36.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |