Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
39.27% ( 0.07) | 24.94% ( -0.01) | 35.79% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.54% ( 0.03) | 45.46% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% ( 0.03) | 67.79% ( -0.03) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( 0.05) | 22.99% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.21% ( 0.07) | 56.78% ( -0.06) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.16% ( -0.02) | 24.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% ( -0.02) | 59.44% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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