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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Maidenhead United

Sutton
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Barbrook (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Sutton United and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Maidenhead United

With neither side in good form, we expect this contest to develop into somewhat of a battle of attrition. Nevertheless, Sutton still possess the greater quality in their squad, and that may come to the fore during the latter stages if the visitors have a chance of earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
39.27% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 24.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.88% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)45.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)22.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (0.067 0.07)56.78% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.84% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.44% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.27%
    Maidenhead United 35.79%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head
May 15, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 54
Maidenhead
0-3
Sutton

Ofori-Twumasi (46'), Massey (70')
Ajiboye (65'), Olaofe (79'), John (90+3')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
3-0
Maidenhead
Bugiel (17'), Eastmond (35'), Callum (83')
Dundas (76')
Apr 25, 2020 5.20pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sutton
0-3
Maidenhead

Davis (8')
Bugiel (82')
S (61'), Whitehall (79', 90+5')
Cassidy (8'), Steer (71'), Cassidy (75')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet22152546252147
2York City22136344202445
3Forest Green RoversForest Green21136239172245
4Gateshead22125541271441
5Oldham AthleticOldham20117236191740
6AltrinchamAltrincham229763628834
7Yeovil TownYeovil2210482723434
8Halifax TownHalifax229762522334
9Rochdale2010372819933
10Solihull MoorsSolihull229583835332
11Sutton UnitedSutton229582927232
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool227962424030
13Eastleigh217862928129
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red217773526928
15Southend UnitedSouthend226972424027
16Tamworth207582334-1126
17Aldershot TownAldershot2257103139-822
18Fylde2264122743-1622
19Woking2256111932-1321
20WealdstoneWealdstone214892432-820
21Braintree TownBraintree2255121931-1220
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2255122744-1720
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2216151650-349


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