Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.