Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 97.61%. A draw had a probability of 2.1% and a win for Foron had a probability of 0.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-4 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.48%) and 0-5 (14.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.19%), while for a Foron win it was 1-0 (0.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.