Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 87.41%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Arras had a probability of 3.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.7%) and 0-4 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for an Arras win it was 1-0 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Valenciennes in this match.